PanamaTimes

Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

What It Means For US If Supreme Court Overturns Their Landmark Abortion Law

What It Means For US If Supreme Court Overturns Their Landmark Abortion Law

The final opinion would be the culmination of about 50 years of activism around the argument that Roe v. Wade, the 1973 ruling guaranteeing federal protection of abortion rights, was wrongly decided.

The US Supreme Court's leaked draft decision to end the nationwide right to abortion would be one of the most explosive domestic political developments in a generation if it holds -- upending the crucial midterm elections and bringing far-reaching implications for millions of Americans.

The final opinion -- expected in the coming weeks -- would be the culmination of almost 50 years of activism around the argument that Roe v. Wade, the 1973 landmark ruling guaranteeing federal protection of abortion rights, was wrongly decided.

Where are we now?


Several states have already enacted punitive restrictions on abortion, led by ban in Texas after about six weeks of pregnancy. Kentucky, Florida, Idaho and Arizona all have passed slightly more lenient curbs, allowing abortion until 15 weeks.

Oklahoma's total ban -- outlawing all terminations except when the mother's life is in danger -- would go into effect after the Supreme Court's final ruling.

Polling on abortion is split, generally showing around a quarter of Americans believe it should be legal in all cases and another quarter think it should be allowed in most.

A quarter believe abortion should be illegal in most cases, and a much smaller proportion -- somewhere around 10 to 15 percent -- believe it should be illegal in all cases.

A CNN poll in January found that 69 percent of respondents were against doing away with Roe while 30 percent were in favor.

What would change?


Overturning Roe would curb access to terminations in many areas across the country, leaving states to set their own restrictions if they so choose.

In at least 13 states, abortion would immediately become illegal, while others have bans on the books from before the 1973 landmark ruling that could be re-enacted.

Planned Parenthood, the leading US reproductive rights group, has said 26 states could enact some type of abortion restrictions.

The Myers Abortion Facility Database says the average American would have to travel around 125 miles (200 kilometers) to reach the nearest legal abortion clinic -- but the figure goes up to 666 miles in Louisiana.

The leaked decision would give states clearance to ban abortions even in the case of rape or incest, a proposition most Americans believe is too extreme.

Impact on the midterm elections?


Abortion animates supporters in both parties and the leak immediately upended November's midterm elections, where it will be a major topic for debate for the rest of the campaign.

President Joe Biden said in a statement Tuesday that overturning Roe would oblige "our nation's elected officials at all levels of government to protect a woman's right to choose.

"And it will fall on voters to elect pro-choice officials this November."

The possibility that the Supreme Court would scrap Roe v. Wade would likely further polarize already deeply divided Republicans and Democrats as they prepare to challenge each other with less than 200 days to go before the first ballot is cast.

The effect on the primary season would be less profound as there is not a significant amount of infighting in either party on the issue.

Democrat Chuck Schumer, the Senate's leader, set out what he sees as the stakes in a speech on the floor Tuesday.

"The elections this November will have consequences as the rights of 100 million women are now on the ballot," he said.

What can Congress do?


Lawmakers could codify the legal principles in Roe v. Wade, although this would require the evenly divided 100-member Senate to drop the legislative filibuster, the 60-vote threshold for passing most legislation.

The House has already passed a bill to do this but the Senate voted against, with centrist West Virginian Democrat Joe Manchin siding with Republicans to oppose the move.

Manchin has previously said he wouldn't lower the threshold to 50 votes in any case unless it was part of a bipartisan compromise.

Republicans are united against blowing up the filibuster, and already ruled it out this year in a tussle on voting rights.

Republican senators Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins are in favor of abortion rights, with Collins even working on her own bill to codify Roe.

But both are unlikely to agree to end the filibuster with Congress run by Democrats.

"Every American is going to see on which side every senator stands," Schumer added.

Will it end with abortion?


Roe's supporters say the arguments for reversing the precedent could be applied to other cases where the Supreme Court has protected "fundamental rights" that are not spelled out in the Constitution.

Opinions dealing with same-sex marriage, contraception and civil rights could easily fall into that category.

The draft opinion, written by Justice Samuel Alito, makes clear he doesn't see this as a danger, arguing that "our decision concerns the constitutional right to abortion and no other right."

But he has not convinced scholars who point out that lawyers have a habit of running with and expanding successful arguments to apply to related cases.

Newsletter

Related Articles

PanamaTimes
0:00
0:00
Close
Meta Faces Legal Battle Over Teen Social Media Addiction
UK Government Proposes Weight-Loss Injections to Combat Obesity and Boost Employment
Russia's Call for a BRICS Financial System Alternative
Indigenous Groups in Brazil Protest Carbon Credit Deal
Tesla's Robotaxi Design Strikes Controversy
Boeing to Reduce Workforce by 10% Amid Financial Strain
Brazilian Man Arrested for Decades-long Abuse and Imprisonment of Family
Donald Trump Amplifies Anti-Migrant Sentiments in Colorado Speech
Mass Looting of Chicago Cargo Train: 50 to 150 Looters Ransack Containers in Chaotic Scene
The Impact of Online Culture on Young Women: Survey Insights
Hypersonic Jet to Revolutionize Air Travel
Facilitated Communication: Miracle Tool or Manipulative Method?
US Election 2024: A Deadlock Between Trump and Harris
Dominica Sells Citizenship to Boost Climate Resilience
Elon Musk's X Faces Fines and Account Error in Brazil
Scott Jennings leaves CNN panel speechless as he tears apart Tim Walz's flimsy excuse of being "too dumb to tell the truth."
Earth Faces Severe Geomagnetic Storm from Solar Flare
China-Led Bloc Challenges The Quad in Indo-Pacific Region
Biden-Harris sent forklifts to open the border when Texas built a razor wall.
Storm Helene Devastates Eastern and Midwestern US, Claims 44 Lives
Trump Taps Elon Musk to Lead Federal Spending Cuts, Promising Trillions in Savings
Importing voters: With an election looming, the U.S. is approving citizenship applications at the fastest speed in years.
Hurricane Helene Set to Slam Florida with 'Unsurvivable' Conditions
El Salvadoran President Bukele at the UN: "Some complain that we put thousands in prison. In reality, we set millions free."
Google Commits 120 Million Dollars for Global AI Education: Sundar Pichai
Tennessee Woman Sentenced for Attempted Murder-For-Hire
Amazon Rainforest Suffers Massive Deforestation
Earth's Planetary Boundaries Breached
Elon Musk’s X Circumvents Brazil’s Supreme Court Block
Brazilian Judge Accuses Elon Musk’s X of Circumventing Court-Ordered Ban
Venezuelan Opposition Leader Coerced into Recognizing Maduro's Victory
Brazil's Firefighters Battle Amazon Blazes and Arsonists
X Social Media Platform Ordered Offline Again in Brazil
Global Workdays Required to Afford iPhone 16
In his podcast, Joe Rogan rightly questioned, "YOU NEED A VACCINE PASSPORT FOR FOOD, BUT VOTER ID IS ‘RACIST'?!"
Trump Unveils New Cryptocurrency Venture Amidst Campaign
X Update Enables App to Bypass Brazil Ban, Say Internet Providers
Delta Airlines Sets Strict Wardrobe Guidelines for Flight Attendants
Norway Achieves Milestone in Electric Vehicle Adoption
Hezbollah Hit by Explosive Pagers in Lebanon
Ex-Soldier Describes Trump Assassination Suspect's Troubled Ukraine Stint
Ghislaine Maxwell's Sex-Trafficking Conviction Upheld by Appeals Court
El Salvador's Bold Move: President Bukele Declares End to External Debt Reliance, Thanks to Bitcoin
Murdoch Family Succession Battle Begins
TikTok Faces Potential Ban in the US Amid Free Speech Concerns
Secret Service Investigates Elon Musk's Controversial Social Media Post
Meta Bans Russian State Media Networks
Impact and Aftermath of 9/11 Attacks on the US and the World
Internet Surpasses TV as UK's Leading News Source
Significant Corruption Concerns in Covid Contracts
×