The epidemiological indicators provided yesterday by the authorities of the Ministry of Health (Minsa) were encouraging and optimistic.
The effective reproductive number or average number of
Covid-19 infections that occur from one case, that is, the Rt, decreased to 0.98 in the country. Last week it was 1.15. Meanwhile, the reproductive number per number of deaths is 0.58. Both averages are below 1, which is optimal.
This was explained by Rodrigo DeAntonio , an epidemiologist who prepares the estimates for the Health authorities, who also reported that the cases are doubling every 20 days.
The increase in the time in which duplication occurs is encouraging, since in epidemiology the ideal is to report for more than 10 days. A week ago, cases doubled every 17 days, and at the start of the outbreak every 2 or 3.
The head of Health, Rosario Turner, said that the first goal was achieved, which is to reduce the speed of contagion of the virus, and that now comes the second, which is to avoid a new wave of cases, which will depend on the application of measures hygiene and physical distance.
Turner reminded the population that protocols are being worked on to return to the new "normal".
The projections that the
Minsa had from March 23 to May 2 showed a dramatic scenario, since between 24,017 and 122,474 cases of
Covid-19 were expected, and between 240 and 1,224 deaths. The actual scenario as of May 2 was 7,090 cases and 197 deaths.